I don't see much of a reason to doubt Tristan's alignment claim, especially since Johnny apparently corroborated it. I suppose they could both be scum, but it'd be a really questionable play for them, to say the least. As for Tristan, I'm not convinced he isn't a killing role, and he obviously wouldn't tell us if he was. I think there's likely to be a vig (or some town-aligned killing role, at least), but it's not necessarily a certainty. Whether we kill Tristan or try to find scum today depends largely on 1. our estimation of which roles there are and who they'll target and 2. how confident we are in our ability to get scum today.
If I'm understanding Legacy's post correctly, there's no real chance of us losing today if we lynch Tristan. There is a chance of us losing, however, if we leave Tristan alive, although it would require mislynching and the vig failing to hit scum, too. So it seems like the safer choice is simply to lynch Tristan today: not only would it remove the uncertainty of his role, but it would give us more time to potentially find scum the following day, with the vig possibly hitting one in the night as well.
I'd rather not place a vote now because we still have time, and I want to think through this and avoid pushing a wagon beforehand. But it seems to me like our best option is simply killing Tristan now, especially with the absence of strong scum reads from most people, including me.
I like Rubik and Libk a bit more as of right now and I kinda would be fine with leaving tristan as a safe place to shoot if we go wrong here specially since they don’t seem to care about self preservation which eases my mind about them getting him
No lynch is also an option, though I'm expecting a lot of resistance to this idea.
If you lynch me, and 2 townies die at night, it'll likely by LYLO, minus one vote (me). Whereas if we no lynch, it'll still probably be LYLO tomorrow, but then at least there is one more vote. The poe is narrowed either way.
LYLO will be avoided in both scenarios if the vig holsters and I'm not sure why there is so much resistance to holstering with these numbers. Tomorrow will likely by -LO no matter what if scum isn't lynched today or the nk isn't blocked.
Basically what I'm trying to say is if we assume 3 scum, if the vig misshoots then it'll be LYLO whether I get lynched or not, unless a wolf gets lynched. If you lynch me, or a townie, or even a no lynch, vig should probably holster to avoid LYLO.
I don't necessarily hate a Libk lynch, but I'd rather not risk throwing the game today, especially with wagons shallow enough that scum can manipulate the result. If we lynch Tristan, then not only will we have the whole day tomorrow to discuss and find scum, but we can more comfortably allow a vig to try to hit scum tonight.
Lesser, greater, middling, it's all the same. Proportions are negotiated, boundaries blurred. I'm not a pious hermit, I haven't done only good in my life. But if I'm to choose between one evil and another, then I prefer not to choose at all.