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If Lucas is not in SSB4, then I'm thinking about this:

Originally I thought that Wii Fit Trainer was an Assist Trophy. But it is now confirmed that she is playable, because she was added to the database around three minutes ago.

If this is true, then it is likely that the original Balloon Fighter might be one of Villager's alternate costumes. Another idea (but more difficult to implement) is Tingle's costume, because there was Tingle's Balloon Fight for the DS.

Animal Crossing Villager - is he the main character from Balloon Fight? Possibly a coincedence.